Sources: “San Mateo rushed into a bad Axon deal”
Every quote in the video links to the meeting video at the moment it was said, and every on-screen figure links to the public record behind it, in the order the video shows them. Dates marked “derived” are calculated from the documents rather than printed in them. Per-camera comparisons use each agency’s Axon quote; some were offers or drafts, as labeled.
Disclosure: I'm a San Mateo resident. This video is part of a public-records project on San Mateo's license plate cameras that I've worked on since January 2026. While working on this video, I donated to Mayor Loraine's campaign, and I've also donated to Seema Patel's campaign (she is running against Council Member Newsom). I made this video on my own, unpaid, and it is not coordinated with any campaign.
Part of none-below.github.io/sm-alpr. Section times match the video’s chapters.
0:00 The opening
“This is a very generous offer by Axon”
“One of my concerns with Axon are the ongoing price increases”
“They lure you in with the initial contract and sweeteners.”
“That they won't be back in another six months saying that this technology is now antiquated and they need more.”
San Mateo’s Axon bill, per year: $151,800 in 2017; just under $450,000 in 2024; $705,754 from FY 2026-27; about $850,755 once ALPR payments start in June 2028.
1:03 Other cities: the Axon bill grows
“One of my concerns with Axon are the ongoing price increases that happen as new technology is acquired, as changes are made to these subscription services. And within one year, we've already seen that happening.”
“I would like to know which are these just increased prices on what we already have and what are new products.”
“The spend has increased over time and that's because I believe that Axon has increased the amount of services that they provide with their product offering.”
“Less than one year and 10 months ago, we entered into a five-year contract for TASERS. They have a five-year lifespan for 1,400 TASERS for a total of $6.5 million. Today, we have MNPD requesting more, newer, and better TASERS with a hefty price tag of $18.3 million.”
“And there is no guarantee that if you pass this, that they won't be back in another six months saying that this technology is now antiquated and they need more.”
“This is an industry trend with Axon. They lure you in with the initial contract and sweeteners. And then on the back end, the data storage is where they really make their money.”
“One concern I have that I just have to give voice to is platform dependence. And it's not clear to me how competitive this market is.”
2:30 The Chief’s offer and the 4–1 vote
“This is a very generous offer by Axon and I don't know how long it would be on the table.”
“Deputy Mayor Fernandez? Yes. Councilmember Cwirko-Godycki? Yes. Councilmember Diaz Nash? Yes. Councilmember Newsom? Yes. Mayor Loraine? No. Motion carries.”
Approved Oct 5, 2026, 4–1: Amendment No. 1 adding Axon license plate cameras, $1,145,260.45 over 98 months.
Minutes for Oct 5, 2026 were not yet published when this page was made; the roll call is in the meeting video.
2:51 Public comment, Oct 19, 2026
“So two weeks ago you approved the Axon camera deal and I just wanted to clarify some things that you were told versus what's on the record.”
3:22 The same deal, in other cities
“We had been negotiating with them for a long time to get to this point. And they are not making this offer to everyone.”
“Axon advised the police department of a new pricing model that they were implementing to all new customers and contract renewals.”
Garden Grove: 5 Outposts at no additional cost, with a signing deadline.
“Agreement includes a no-cost pilot of Axon's fixed ALPR solutions through June of 2027. If the pilot is successful, the first payment of $120,000 will be due in June of 2027.”
Daly City: a “no-cost pilot” through June 2027; first payment due June 2027 if the pilot succeeds.
“That's why we are piloting this trial with Axon at no cost to the city of Tempe taxpayer.”
“As you know, Axon is a primary system we use with body cams, evidence, and a handful of other softwares in the building. So we'd be looking at their LPR cameras to help consolidate systems.”
“Leader pricing is what they call it where you either get 20 off every year or you get your first year free”
“The cost of year one is deferred”
Ferndale: year one deferred.
“Based on actual installation timing of the proposed first year payment will occur in fiscal year of 2028.”
Richmond: first payment in FY28.
“Mayor is a tough negotiator we got a very good price on this”
Inglewood: 27% discount and an option to backload payments.
“It will not change the contract. They threw that in for the price it was already agreed to.”
Abilene: 28 Outposts inside the officer plan, with no Outpost price row.
“In total, Axon has applied more than $75,000 in discounts to this proposal.”
Grand Chute: Axon absorbed the $11,500 Flock termination fee.
“So we're not going to renew our flock contract in 2027. We're going to transition to Axon, which is a longstanding partner.”
Durango: the Chief asked Axon not to charge until the last Flock contract ends.
“And put the license plate readers under the same bundled contract.”
“The proposed agreement extends through 2036 and incorporates additional products and services, the drones, the outposts, and the VR systems.”
“They have other folks ahead of us in line, essentially. There are other communities in the Bay Area that are signing on to their platform. So we basically fall in line with.”
“They are trying to offer this for free. It's almost like a sales pitch, pretty much. That is my understanding.”
“Are you actually seeing folks rip and replace hardware to essentially install Outpost”
“We absolutely are.”
“It's a new sensor in this broader ecosystem you can run ai on it at the edge you uh you have immediate utility from the plate reads um and it fits in this broader play with axon vision”
“One of the fun things about talking about Prepared and Carbyne and, you know, Outpost is that these are all things that are not called out in our revenue commentary because they're still immaterial to our revenue in this quarter. So we did 34% growth without any of these, and these are amazing drivers to support our long-term growth in our future.”
“It serves customers well to get in early. And, you know, the longer you wait, the more the sum of the parts adds up.”
Axon’s executives, to investors (May 6, 2026).
“The chief also said that they are not making this offer to everyone. In June, Daly City approved a no-cost pilot of Axon's cameras, and I found 35 other agencies across the country who have similar Axon camera deals.”
“And many of them had more free cameras and a really free trial.”
6:08 “Other places to go”?
“I'm frankly very concerned that they have other places to go should we not look to this as an opportunity.”
San Mateo: 5 of 45 cameras free (the “donor” line); the rest charged.
Cameras priced at $0 on other agencies’ quotes: Kennewick 40, Knoxville 27, Jupiter 10, Douglas County 10, Glenwood Springs 4, Angels Camp 3, Rialto 5 Lightposts, Chino 5, Circleville 2, Woods Cross 1 Lightpost.
- Kennewick, WA: Axon quote Q-753565 (40 Outposts at $0.00 for 114 months, refreshes included, inside a 10-year, $10.8M Axon renewal: body cams, Axon AI and in-car video)
- Knoxville, TN: Axon quote Q-786169 (27 Outposts at $0)
- Jupiter, FL: Axon quote Q-671876 (10 Outposts at $0)
- Douglas County, CO: Axon quote Q-845030 (10 donor Outposts at $0; 100 at $211.98)
- Glenwood Springs, CO: Axon quote Q-840238 (4 Outposts at $0)
- Angels Camp, CA: Axon quote Q-814574 (3 Outposts at $0)
- Rialto, CA: Axon quote Q-725907 (5 Lightposts at $0)
- Chino, CA: Axon quote Q-795243 (5 Outposts at $0)
- Circleville, OH: Ordinance 10-76-2025 with Axon quote Q-749055 (2 Outposts at $0)
- Woods Cross, UT: Resolution 2026-1008 with Axon quotes Q-835693
Grand Chute, WI: Axon paid the $11,500 Flock exit fee.
6:21 Was it rushed? The deadlines
“So I'm just going to humbly move that we consider tabling this for a month or longer with the idea that we would like to have at least one town hall meeting before we engage in this.”
Not tabled: approved that night, 4–1, with a community meeting “by January 2027” (after the vote, not before).
“Even one month, do you think, would be too long to wait? We've been negotiating with them for some time. I think it would be difficult. I can't give you a definite answer. I mean, they're running a business. I understand that. I don't know. I don't know whether we'd be back in front of you again.”
“I reviewed the quote history for the contract and found that there were multiple deadlines, June, September, October. Each time, Axon sent a new version of the quote with a later deadline. The price never went up.”
The deadlines: the Apr 17 quote expired June 19; the Jul 20 quote expired Sept 29; the Sept 5 revision expired Oct 16. The total never went up: $1,169,541, then $1,145,260.
“This causes them to feel something called anticipatory regret. If we do not take this deal today, we will have FOMO and we will lose this amazing deal.”
7:21 “No cost”? The price per camera
“So there will be no cost for the Axon system throughout the life of the Flock contract.”
“But the quote on paper charges for 40 cameras every month starting November 15th of this year. Only five are free. Kennewick got 40 free cameras. And the only difference is the payments for those cameras are deferred to 2028.”
The quote charges 40 cameras for all 98 months from Nov 15, 2026 (and 14 more for 86 months); only 5 are free. Payments start June 1, 2028: deferred, not waived.
- Axon quote Q-865809-009 (Amendment No. 1, Exhibit D)
- same, City copy (PrimeGov)
- Kennewick, WA: Axon quote Q-753565 (40 Outposts at $0.00 for 114 months, refreshes included, inside a 10-year, $10.8M Axon renewal: body cams, Axon AI and in-car video)
- Knoxville, TN: Axon quote Q-786169 (27 Outposts at $0)
“I mean, it's not very often that we get someone who's willing to provide a service for such an extended period of time at no cost.”
Price per Outpost camera, per month, from each agency’s Axon quote (11 of 14 others were quoted less than San Mateo; longer terms include more hardware refreshes):
| Agency (links to quote) | Months | Net $/camera/month |
|---|---|---|
| Reno, NV (pending) | 96 | $225.64 |
| San Mateo: 14 added in 2027 | 86 | $222.01 |
| Bristol, CT | 54 | $221.43 |
| Sun Prairie, WI (estimate) | 120 | $217.95 |
| San Mateo: first 40 | 98 | $215.64 |
| Douglas County, CO | 120 | $211.98 |
| Plymouth, MN | 120 | $211.98 |
| Ferndale, MI | 60 | $199.94 |
| Plantation, FL | 60 | $199.94 |
| San Bernardino, CA | 60 | $199.36 |
| South Pasadena, CA (offer) | 60 | $199.36 |
| Englewood, CO (failed 3–3) | 60 | $199.36 |
| Duncanville, TX | 60 | $199.36 |
| Junction City, OR (offer) | 60 | $183.27 |
| Woods Cross, UT | 120 | $132.49 |
| Charleston, SC | 60 | $100.60 |
7:56 Locked in for 98 months
“I think the contract is open-ended, so we have a full year to decide whether we're going to pursue it. Based on that, I would recommend that we don't lose the opportunity.”
Fixed 98-month term, Nov 15, 2026 to Jan 14, 2035. Leaving penalty-free takes 60 days’ notice within the first 12 months (about Sept 15, 2027, a derived date); after that, “MSRP reconciliation” on the discount.
“It is a fixed 98 month contract to January 2035. The only way out without paying for the hardware is to give notice by this next September. If we wait a day past that, we are paying from this coming November, you know, from a few weeks from now.”
The term starts on the quote’s Contract Start date (Nov 15, 2026) whether or not cameras are installed: Axon’s terms say subscriptions “begin on the date stated in the Quote.”
8:26 A “trial”?
“And then have a check-in to get the assessment from the police department on Axon before the expiration of the contract. Just to clarify, I think before the expiration of this trial period. The pilot period, yes.”
“The approval motion called it a trial and a pilot and Axon's contract does have a block that talks about trials, but we did not use that portion. We just signed up for this thing with the five free cameras and delayed first payment.”
Axon’s own Free Trial: cancel on 10 business days’ notice, hardware goes back. San Mateo’s deal isn’t that: 60 days’ notice on a 98-month term.
9:00 Two license plate systems at once
“What would we gain from revisiting this in six to eight months?”
“It would not exceed one year and if I had to throw out a guess, I'd throw it out somewhere between the six and nine month range to get a good sample size of whether or not we see an advantage to one system over the other.”
Axon is to run “concurrently with the existing Flock system” in the “same general locations.”
Flock’s contract: signed Aug 25, 2023 for a 60-month initial term (so through Aug 2028, a derived date; the staff report says “through 2028”), with no termination for convenience. A separate grant-funded Flock order renews on its own schedule.
“The proposed Axon agreement does not expand our existing technology footprint.”
9:24 Axon’s pitch to investors
“So the more features we add, you should expect that to be reflected in the price as we revise it each year.”
“Axon Vision is new. You didn't know about it when you signed your contract. Frankly, maybe we didn't either, but you're going to get it if you're on that plane.”
Axon Q1 2026 earnings call, May 6, 2026.
9:40 San Mateo’s own Axon history
“And so we rushed into a contract last year, $27 million contract, only $2 million covered by grants, $25 million coming from local city dollars. Now we're asked to increase the contract again this year.”
San Mateo’s Axon contract total: $7,350,052 (Dec 2024); $8,495,313 with this deal (Oct 2026).
“Item number 13, Axon Master Services and Purchasing Agreement approval.”
“So is there a motion from council to approve the consent calendar minus 18, 19, and 25? So moved. Second. Thank you. City Clerk, could you please call the roll? Certainly. Council Member Loraine? Yes. Deputy Mayor Newsom? Yes. Council Member Hedges? Yes. Council Member Lee? Yes. Mayor Diaz Nash? Yes. Motion carries 5-0.”
Six Axon approvals since 2020, all on the consent calendar.
- May 18, 2020 staff report (item 7): body cams + Tasers, $1,267,301.58; 2017 rate $151,800/yr
- Aug 16, 2021 staff report (item 23): in-car + interview-room video, $549,943.90
- Sep 19, 2022 staff report (item 15): Amendment 1, VR, $298,126.10
- Mar 20, 2023 staff report (item 12): Amendment 2, drones, $110,575.95
- Oct 21, 2024 staff report (item 16): Amendment 3, drones, $83,348.90
- Dec 9, 2024 staff report (item 13): $7,350,052.13 bundle, 5 + 5 years, yearly cost table
- Dec 9, 2024 minutes: consent calendar 5–0, item 13 = Res. 117 (2024)
- Dec 9, 2024 packet, full text
FY 2026-27 General Fund deficit: $16.8 million ($17.0M proposed).
Measure H, Nov 3, 2026: a ¼-cent sales tax, about $7 million a year. Axon at about $850,755 a year from 2028 is about 1 in 8 of those dollars.
- Sales tax measure report (Jul 20, 2026): about $7 million a year
- Jul 20, 2026 minutes: Resolution 84 (2026) places it on the ballot
- City of San Mateo ballot measure page (Measure H)
- Dec 9, 2024 staff report (item 13): $7,350,052.13 bundle, 5 + 5 years, yearly cost table
- Oct 5, 2026 staff report, item 12
10:29 The vote and the exit window
“Deputy Mayor Fernandez? Yes. Councilmember Cwirko-Godycki? Yes. Councilmember Diaz Nash? Yes. Councilmember Newsom? Yes. Mayor Loraine? No. Motion carries.”
The penalty-free exit closes about Sept 15, 2027 (60 days before month 12); after that, the contract runs to Jan 14, 2035.
10:44 Why it’s a bad deal, and who voted for it
Rushed: approved before any town hall, while still bound to Flock until Aug 2028; Axon’s deadline had already moved twice. Locked in: 98 months, to 2035; the penalty-free exit closes 10 months in. Not free: charged from Nov 15, 2026, installed or not; the first bill comes in June 2028. Not a better price: Axon’s usual discount is 20% off list (Englewood’s presenter above: “20 off every year or … your first year free”); most agencies got at least that; San Mateo got 17% or less.
Oct 5, 2026 roll call: Yes — Deputy Mayor Nicole Fernandez, Council Members Danielle Cwirko-Godycki, Lisa Diaz Nash and Robert Newsom Jr. No — Mayor Adam Loraine, who had moved to wait a month for a town hall.